South Asia Analysis Group 


Paper no. 324

21. 09. 2001

  

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PAKISTAN’S PRESIDENT MUSHARRAF UNMASKED

by Dr. Subhash Kapila

Pakistan in Crisis: History has a strange manner of not only repeating itself, but also staring back cynically at nations, who are oblivious to it.  President General Musharraf in his televised address to the Pakistani nation on September 17, 2000 stated that Pakistan now faced its most critical situation in history after the 1971 war with India.  He was alluding to the dismemberment of Pakistan following its military debacle in 1971.  History again sees Pakistan on the verge of a possible civil war, this time to be brought about by its promotive and permissive policies towards Islamic Jehadi politics and using state sponsored Islamic Jehadi terrorism as a tool of Pakistan’s state policies.

Pakistan today is definitely in a crisis, but a crisis not forced by external circumstances. Pakistan is in a crisis that is of its own making.  For a decade following the exit of USA from the Afghanistan War scene, Pakistan under Benazir Bhutto’s premiership created the Taliban and crafted the Afghan Jehad into an Islamic Jehad and as an instrument of Pakistan’s political and foreign policies.  Pakistan’s civilian and military leaders, thereafter, followed these policies with vigour.  Pakistan’s state-sponsored terrorism in India’s Jammu & Kashmir State and the limited Kargil war in 1999 were a manifestation of these policies.  General Musharraf was the chief architect of the Kargil War. 

Pakistan as The Centre of International Islamic Terrorism: Global Islamic Jehadi terrorism took birth, thrived and was nurtured, primarily from the Mujahideen camps run by Pakistan on Pakistani and Afghan soil.

Yossef Bodansky, a noted American authority on Islamic terrorism and Osama bin laden has significantly noted on Pakistan’s complicity in international terror that:

"By the late 1980s the World of international terrorism was changing. The camps of the Afghan resistance in Pakistan actually became the center of Islamist terrorism."

"In the quest for Islamist violence, the camps of Afghan resistance in Pakistan became to Sunni Islamist terrorism what Lebanon had been to radical leftist terrorism.  Pakistan became a place of pilgrimage for aspiring Islamist radicals".

"As the center of Islamist terrorism shifted to "holy terror" the significance of the Pakistani Afghan infrastructure increased."

"By late fall 1998, Pakistan was mired in a vicious cycle that caused Islamabad to be increasingly dependent on the support and legitimisation by the radical Islamist power base."

"The mere existence of ostensibly independent terrorist leaders such as Osama bin Laden greatly simplifies Islamabad’s predicament because bin Laden provides deniable venues for both Pakistani sponsorship and placement of the local Taliban."

Pakistan’s civil and military leaders from Benazir Bhutto to General Musharraf are all guilty of promoting Islamic Jehad and terrorism, USA should know this better.

Regrettably, Islamic Jehadi terrorism came to roost in the most diabolical manner in New York and Washington with horrendous losses of lives on September 11, 2001.  The United States was finally jerked from its obliviousness to Islamic Jehadi terrorism in other countries into responses reminiscent of Pearl Harbour days in 1941.  It was the United States strategic responses to ‘Ground Zero’ which has created the present crisis in Pakistan, to which General Musharraf referred.

General Musharraf Unmasked: It has been said that: "character isn’t made in the crisis, but that’s when you see it."   That is what happened on September 19, 2001 night when General Musharraf addressed the Pakistani nation on television, broadcast worldwide by CNN.  His character and leadership mettle showed up as that of a man who was nervous, tense and agitated under the stress of the crisis.  He appeared to be a man on the verge of cracking up under American pressure to aid US war aims in Afghanistan.  Gone was the swagger and flamboyance of the Agra Summit.  The inherent contradictions of his own position and that of Pakistan were telling heavily on him.

General Musharraf, in his speech, in relation to the United States was shifty.  He was not forthcoming boldly on why Pakistan had to support USA as an "enduring ally of long standing".  This was in marked contrast to another Islamic allies of the United States who boldly declared support for USA.  What General Musharraf projected and implied in his presidential address was that Pakistan was under tremendous pressure from the United States to act as he did.  Implied was, that left to his own volitions, he would not proceed against the Taliban or Osama bin Laden.

During this speech, General Musharraf leaned heavily on Islamic rhetoric and even invoked lessons from the early stages of Islamic religious history (an eye-opener) as to how "no-war pacts" with an enemy could be entered into as a temporising measure by an Islamic state for the sake of political or strategic expediency and could then be reneged later on, to surprise and defeat the enemy.  This reference could be implied against the United States, in that Pakistan could back out of its present commitments to USA.

General Musharraf, for want of more cogent reasons sought to justify Pakistan’s aiding United States by indulging in a rabid anti-India tirade, namely: (1) India was against Islam and Pakistan (2) India was exploiting the present situation to threaten Pakistan’s national security and strategic assets (nuclear weapons and missiles).  Strangely, the issue for Pakistan at this critical stage was not India or Indo-Pak relations but the issue of tackling global terrorism.  Islamic Jehad was the issue. 

General Musharraf’s rabid anti-Indian attitude and his allegorical references that going back on no-war pact was sanctioned by religion, were so unmasked.

Lessons for India: General Musharraf, through his address and his rabid anti-Indian rendition has rendered a noble service to India.  Musharraf apologists in India, from political leaders to the Indian media elite and peace-niks could not have been convinced otherwise.  Those clamouring for the continuance of Indo-Pak dialogues,with the unmasking of General Musharraf should now realise the futility of this all.

The invitation to General Musharraf for a dialogue at Agra was analysed as a policy blunder , quite in advance of the event by this author (see www.saag.org/papers3/paper247.html). General Musharraf’s religious references, going back on agreements would substantiate the argument, that he cannot be trusted.  It is amazing that the Indian media failed to highlight this aspect while reporting soon after.  

Rebutting, Musharraf’s charges of India being anti-Islam, Indian Official spokesman focussed on India being the second largest Muslim country in the world.  It is an insult to India’s secularism.  India is a secular country with over 80 % Hindus and 12 %Muslims, who by virtue of their numbers rank second in the world.

It is time India really adopted a "lay-off" attitude to Pakistan and Indo-Pak dialogue.  The Indian media needs to note. India is not a Muslim country first or second.

Lessons for the United States: President Bush’s generous commendation of General Musharraf’s address as a "bold declaration" is rather intriguing.  No bold statements of Pakistani support to USA were made or implied.  On the contrary, what was implied was that Pakistan under tremendous pressure impacting on Pakistan’s future , was being coerced into complying with US demands.  The Taliban received protective references and USA’s current attitudes were termed as arising from "anger and vengeance."  Musharraf stood once again unmasked on his attitudes towards USA, implying that US responses did not emerge from sane deliberation.

Conclusion: General Musharraf, unlike other military rulers of Pakistan has not only used Islam as an effective political tool, but is also a die-hard Islamic fundamentalist. That makes him more dangerous.  If he as a Mohajjir could rise up to the top in the Punjabi conservative Islamist Pakistan army, it has been by the force of his Islamic fundamentalist credentials.  The point stands made elsewhere by this analyst that the Pakistan army did not raise a finger when General Karamat was displaced by former PM Nawaz Sharif.  Yet Islamic fundamentalists Generals of Pak army , in-abstentia, installed dismissed General Musharraf into  power through a military coup.  The conclusion is obvious.

United States attitudes presently towards Pakistan and its involvement in international Islamic Jehadi terrorism , can best be termed to be as a US psychological "state of denial." Or one should heed what Vice President Dick Cheney of USA is reported to have said during the current crisis, namely: "If you keep relying only on certified good guys for action, how you would discover what the bad  guys are up to."  President Musharraf by his own unmasking on September 19, 2001, provides the answer.

(Dr. Subhash Kapila is an International Relations and Strategic Affairs analyst.  He can be reached on e-mail for discussion at esdecom@vsnl.com)

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